Computer Models


Splendid Christopher Booker in The Sunday Telegraph says the computer model predicting global warming also promised dry April-May-June. On March 26 the Met Office cheerfully calculated “slightly drier than average conditions for April-May-June”, with April the driest month. This, the Met Office assured us, was based on “observations, several numerical models and expert judgment”. What happened was more rain than at any time since records began in 1766, with the wettest April and June in 100 years.

Professor Julia Slingo, the Met Office’s chief scientist, confessed to MPs in 2010 that the “numerical models” used by the Met Office for short-term weather forecasts are exactly the same as those “we use for our climate prediction work”.  Yet it was the Met Office’s predictions of climate change that were taken as Gospel by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, setting set off the BBC and other global warmists towards bankrupting us all with wind farms and other crazy schemes. The Met Office’s £33 million super-computer that failed to predict the worst floods in more than a century is relied on by the IPCC for predicting what the weather will be like in 100 years’ time.


Computer models only do what people tell them. Ask Alice.

Speed Limits

“Something must be done. This is something. Therefore we must do it.” Yes Minister Jim Hacker’s famous response. Last week’s commotion about 40 limits is just the same. Hapless Jim Hacker - hapless real-life Tom Fraser – Minister of Transport who brought in the 70mph limit at Christmas 1965, “doing something” about motorway accidents in fog.

They weren’t 100mph crashes. Hardly anybody was doing more than 50. It was a fatuous response yet, astonishingly, voters liked it. Voters love speed limits. The average voter would bring back capital punishment and now we have a government that before the election promised not to wage war on motorists, reacting the same way the socialist dirigiste useless Fraser did.

Only months ago it was talking about an 80mph limit. I didn’t believe it then and I don’t believe it now. Road casualties are up; they want to be seen Doing Something.

Yes Minister, they really are all the same.

Formula One - BMW Nil


My BMW Z3 on a fine day

Wet drive in prospect for Silverstone practice. BMW Z3 wiper blade shredded. Can I come to Soper, Lincoln main dealer, and have new ones fitted? Not till Tuesday. Nice lady suggested try Sytner, Nottingham, on your way to Silverstone. Gave me a phone number. Four calls and long waits listening to recorded advertising drivel about BMW and the Olympics. Gave up, called Formula One Autocentre, Lincoln. “We’ll fit new blades right away.” And they did. A lot cheaper than Soper would have on Tuesday. Convincing. BMW service always disappoints.

Tribute


Sad week. Bollinger bankers taking home the price of two Tornado GR4s lost in the North Sea. Watched XV (R) Squadron at Waddington on Sunday, only for lives to be lost on Tuesday. They gave a convincing demonstration of action in Libya or Afghanistan. (Pyrotechnics at Waddington below)

I couldn’t help thinking of my years in motor racing, watching heroes flashing past at a hundred and fifty only to die on the next lap. It’s the same sort of grief. You flinched then; I flinch more now I’m old. Pilots and drivers show the same dashing heroism; gain the same adulation of a Grand Prix crowd.

I’m glad motor racing is safer, sad that service flying is so demanding. I pay tribute to the Lossiemouth aircrew.

Bollinger bankers?

Readers' letters


1985 Ford Sierra RS Cosworth

The Guardian readers’ letters were the rudest. I covered motor racing for the newpaper in the 1960s and 1970s. Pioneering stuff. Motor racing seldom made sports pages. John Samuel, sports editor recently presented with the Doug Gardner Award, wanted to be “inclusive”. He asked Adam Raphael, the motoring correspondent who went on to be a notable political writer, to cover racing. Adam didn’t want to and asked Barrie Gill, of the new (1964) Sun who might. Gill kindly suggested me.

I enjoyed The Guardian. It was demanding on writing style and I did the motoring column sometimes as well. I didn’t know about newspaper writing, had no formal training; I made it up as I went along. By good fortune John Samuel was patient. Just as fortunately perhaps, he had nobody else on hand who knew anything about motor racing.

There was a broad church of student readers with whom I got on well. But when I was critical in the motoring column of the 70mph speed limit Guardianistas were furious. Prejudiced and abusive the roundheads went after me. They seemed to suspect that not only did I not share their dirigisme, but also (probably alone of Guardian contributors) I was never a member of a trade union. They, and readers of The Obsever, nevertheless stuck by me for 15 years.

It was The Grauniad when I started with it. Compositry was a weakness on a small patch of floor in Grays Inn Road. Losing £120,000 a day now, they say. That’s what happens, you see...

Sierra Sapphire. Cosworth 4x4 was a development.

Sometimes it was as well not to tell readers absolutely everything. I did not disclose, even to my broader-minded Sunday Times readers in 1990 how, testing the Sierra Sapphire Cosworth in Spain, my former colleague from The Motor, Roger Bell in the passenger’s seat, pointed skywards. We were directly under the flight path to an airport and he was indicating a Boeing 747 overhead, seemingly stationary. We were both doing 150mph.

The Boeing was getting down to its landing speed approaching the runway. We were enjoying racing car speeds on an open road. Roger had been with the test team for the E-type Jaguar. In 1961, 150mph was so rare for a production car they put on crash helmets and used racing tyres. Here we were, on a sunny day, doing it in a production saloon Ford. Safe as houses at twice what the hapless Tom Fraser, Minister of Transport thought so perilous in 1965.


I didn't do 150mph in this E-type, one of the first I drove, at the Glasgow Motor Show following its introduction in Geneva. That's me on the right, with Jaguar apprentice Clive Martin outside the Hamilton newspaper that ran my first motoring column.

Nothing new about a London Grand Prix


There’s nothing new about a London Grand Prix. Sunday Magazine in 1981 wasn’t first to suggest it and now, apparently, Bernie is encouraging the idea of one round the Olympic Stadium. Thirty years ago I revived a 1930s proposal. Innes Ireland came to lunch and agreed a Hyde Park Grand Prix course with racing cars tearing down Park Lane at 180mph, braking hard for a sharp right hander at the Hilton, flat-out in fifth past the Serpentine.

Grand Prix cars only had five gears then and were racing round some unlikely places, like the Caesar’s Palace car park, Las Vegas, and street courses in Montreal, Long Beach and Detroit. Lunch with Innes was always entertaining.

Maybe Whitehall, Birdcage Walk and The Mall was a bit ambitious. Hyde Park was probably more practical; Grosvenor House and The Dorchester would have been good viewing points. Decent breakfast and all-day bar. Parliament Square was a product of artist Geoff Hunt’s imagination.

On Wednesday Telegraph Sport revealed that a bid, tabled by Intelligent Transport Solutions Ltd, was among the shortlist of four accepted. According to the formal documentation, it was listed as being “on behalf of Formula One”, though Ecclestone said on Thursday he “had not put his name to it”.

The plan is thought to propose a track running into the stadium and then around the Olympic Park, which has considerable wide-open spaces, though designed for pedestrians rather than F1 cars. Intelligent Transport Solutions Ltd was founded last year, with headquarters listed as Wanstead, east London.

Santander is sponsoring a competition to envisage a London grand prix circuit. Nothing’s new.